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Showing posts with label stock market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stock market. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 8, 2022

STOCK MARKET SHARE PURCHASE HOW TO BEGIN INVESTING

 

SHARE MARKET

STOCK INVESTMENT

How to invest in the stock market in India is often the question I listen to from the young buddies. The obvious next question is how to invest successfully for the beginners. A few decades ago, no one ever dreams of entering the share market. It was considered the gambling market for the tips earners and often, the reckless punters and risk takers. It was deemed more of a lottery than a route for investment. They are of the impression that such investments need huge amounts of money and a systematic investment plan means putting savings each month little by little in the Mutual Fund. None dares explore the way to invest directly into stocks. Let’s explore the dynamics of directly stock investing from a deeper perspective.

The first thought one must discard is how to invest in stocks and make money. It’s not the route to a gambler’s success. Share market is the place where money flows from the impatient to the patient-Warren Buffet. Ironically, barely 1% makes money while the rest 99% do not have the patience. Patience is subject to a particular stream of studies pertaining to human psychology and human psychology is an embedded quality in the common man. Everyone wants a quick way to success and eventually ends up in disappointment.

There comes the importance of the Mutual funds. Mutual fund calculators will tell you a much higher return over a large period of time. Many will go for the mutual funds.

Why is mutual fund important?

There are many reasons behind it. First reason is financial illiteracy. Educational institutes and learning curricula do not educate the young minds on the methods of investment leaving all of them blind of the investment routes.

Inflation erodes savings. To counter this, either you directly invest in the active business and obtain profits far exceeding the inflation rates thereby increasing actual returns. Second route is through the secondary market which is the other name of the stock market. Here, an exchange is instituted to float the shares for fast exchange of the stocks contributing to the volatility of the shares. In direct investments, you have to be involved in day to day operations of the business and the profit will be divided among the shareholders. In this case the shares are not floated and it's a private organisation. When such an organisation tries to scale up the business, it needs money which it borrows from the Angel Investors. If the amount is past several hundreds of crores, Venture Capitalists will step in. If the investments exceed thousands of crores, Merchant Bankers will lend the money. Against the collateral mortgage of the promoter’s (Owner’s) shares or by the way of directly and privately buying their shares in a very chunk, they will lend the money. They earn in this way from the profit distribution (Dividend) and sale of the shares through offer for sale. But, they incur the highest risk. Out of many such investments, only a few give them profits manifold.

When the company grows big and there arises the need to collect money from the public in general, the company goes public, that is, it enters into the secondary (Share/Stock) market. Common men then flock around it and start buying/selling its shares. It gets the opportunity to scale higher by showing its performance and gaining inventors’ confidence over decades of stellar performance.

For an ordinary investor to buy its requires understanding its business model, profits, investments, finances, plan for new expansions and projects, risks the company is incurring, future demand of the product/services etc. Here comes his dependence on the ace fund managers. These fund managers are the trained people to read the balance sheets, annual reports, make inquiries on the companies’ activities and analyse the accounts forensically. They are also trained to time the market as far as possible and make entry and exits thereby getting profits for their clients. Thus the clients cum investors get 10-20% returns far exceeding the inflation erosion.

Why is it not prudent to depend solely on the Fund managers?

Fund managers are often under pressure to maximise the profit quarterly and attract more investors. The more the investments, the more is the quantum of money. They sometimes make wrong decisions incurring ordinary profits. An ordinary investor does not have direct control over his selection of shares or timings of entry or exit. That’s a flaw. Secondly, honesty is and integrity is a moot point here. Often operators and investment cartels take help of a few dishonest fund managers to inflate prices or short sell certain shares which may not call for prudent investment.

Who must depend on the Mutual Funds?

Those who have a dearth of time to do self research and studies on the companies financials in depth may opt for it. Those who are too naive to churn out the financials and do not have the training to convincingly find a company or get the premonition to exit in time may rather depend on the fund managers.

Any Safest way to bet on a selected few companies on a long term basis?

Go to the Nifty Fifty companies list. Open their last 20 years chart and see which among them display constant growth. Select 20 and do not invest more than 5% in any one of them and sleep tight. 12-20% Compounded Annual Growth Return (CAGR) over 10 years is possible beating bank returns. In this way you do not have to depend on any third party for the investment advise and be free to make your call in a disciplined systematic manner.

Which companies’ Stocks should I pick for long term investment and sound profits?

A million dollar question indeed. You have to read through other articles of mine to see which companies I’m invested in and the rationale behind them. Happy investing !!!


[By profession this author is a 38 years' experienced private tutor. Visit www.dbhattacharjee.com to know more.

He directly invests in Share market too.

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Tuesday, February 1, 2022

BUDGET 2022 CRYPTOCURRENCY REAL ESTATE STOCK MARKET

Budget 2022 has, as usual, brought excitement and expectation among the Indian middle class. Tax slab, standard deductions for the middle class' income has thrown water as there has been no increase in 1.5 L Tax savings. Long Term Capital Gain Tax has been enhanced and is going to be levied at a whooping 15% rate !!! This does not auger well for Real estate and the Stock market. Yet, Today's market has somewhat cheered the Budget 2022 in expectation of Govt's confidence in a boosting future of India. GDP rate has been improving, Factories are being operated in full throttle. So, Make-good-feeling larks in Dalal street.




The Union Minister has declared taxing Cryptos as asset class. This means exchange, trading of this currency is going to be recognised by the Govt. This will revert the bearish sentiment of crypto market. Stocks may see temporary run up, but in the near term to mid term, liquidity is going to be dried up as the US Fed and India's RBI are eventually going to begin Tapering sucking the liquidity from the system. Besides, a better sentiment in crypto market will divert the liquidity from the stock market in this direction. The Robinhood investors will soon divert their attention to gain and make quick bucks in the cryptocurrency trading. The trading and Depositary Crypto platforms have introduced Fixed deposits in INR while keeping the purchased Cryptos in the stock for the investor. Hence, while one will enjoy the possibility of crypto bull market, one may still earn FD  rates on their crypto holdings. It's a double edged benefit.




I think the Real estate will start booming soon. When GDP increases, Interest rates are also hiked by the RBI. Such a situation arrives when employment starts being generated and people start having surplus money through a reviving economy. Real estate, every 9-11 years, undergo a bull and bear cycle. Since 2011 bull ended and bear rule began in Indian Real estate scenario. I guess the market is going to bottom out in matter of next couple of years soon.




Stock market bull run happens even during the most bleak economic condition in anticipation of a better economy and increasing GDP sometime soon. Indian stocks showed exponential increase from mid 2020 to early 2022 . But, Real estate starts moving up when the economy actually starts showing healthy increment. We're going through this situation now in the beginning of 2022. This is when the Real Estate is at the rock bottom, Stocks are insanely valued, economy is showing the green soot.

It's the right time to buy a Real estate at a cheap price as within a span of three to four years, their price will zoom up. Resale properties are being sold at a throw away price. New properties will quote much higher prices as their cost of material and labour charges are very high now.




New stock market entrants should step cautiously as another 10-20% correction in Nifty is possible any time around. One may deploy 10% of one's disposable investment in cryptos and then keep investing little to the extent of only 5% of their monthly income. It has a potential to give very good returns in near future.

[By profession this author is a 38 years' experienced private tutor. Visit  https://www.dbhattacharjee.com to know more.

 
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Friday, January 28, 2022

GEOPOLITICAL TENSION ACROSS RUSSIA UKRAIN--MARKET TANKS, CAUSE FOR WORRY ??

 Sensex and Nifty with Dow have been showing weakness. Already market has been slashed by about 10% from its recent peak. Is it time to worry?

War has always been a very very lucrative business since time immemorial. It provides opportunity to fish in muddy water. It helps people in power to divert commoners' attention from the murky politics. This, in turn, gives them time to incite nationalism and send the young to death. Shady deals in politics happens across the globe. That's why there is so much competition to go to the top in politics. War game provides the politicians to enrich themselves by the way of weapon-buying and the associated kickbacks.Remember the figure, worldwide, is in trillions. Without putting up hard core business or spending laborious time in profession, politicians make billions of dollars. Their heirs can spend life for seven generations to come. That's why war is so necessary.



Coming to economy. Disruptions happen while war happens. Supply chain is damaged. This leads to panic and inflation. This leads to increase in the price of Gold in short term. Real estate tanks even lower. Stocks become jittery. It's time to fish in muddy water for the Hedge fund managers and make shady deals with the cheap companys' promoters. Money is made in trillions while commoners, again, lose.

It's always the ordinary investors who lose and clevers make money. Question is, when in a wartime situation can this happen? It happens only when trade sanctions are placed among the countries  as a retaliatory measure. Can US, Russia EU afford trade sanctions at this moment? I doubt. Because inflation at US ids all time high at 7%. It'll shoot through the roof if sanctions are put in place. Hence, to my mind, it's going to be temporary phase to make money.

[By profession this author is a 38 years' experienced private tutor. Visit www.dbhattacharjee.com to know more.

 
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Wednesday, January 26, 2022

Geopolitical conflict War Looming on the Horizon ??

 Barely have we tided over the COVID crisis, has another omen been tolling in the form of geopolitical conflict. Is a war in the offing?

Already Biden seems to be getting involved in America's elderly brother's shoes. He's started shooting fiery observation at Russia's military concentration across Ukrain's border. 


Now, the inevitable question. Is it a news highlight or an omen of new conflict arising or a ploy decoy public attention from world's poor economy ??

World's overall economy is poor. Money is as usual concentrated and the unemployment inflation are gnawing. There is unrest everywhere. Inflation is about whooping 7% in a country like the USA. Govt requires a diversion to engage public and attribute their mindless money printing impact on War and military expenses. India is also showing signs of anti incumbency factor in every state. 

Economy and politics are ever happily married together. Economy is the sum total of population's productivity. Most of the God created animals in humans are simpletons. They lack sharp mindset to change themselves, adapt to the changing demand to garner more and secure their progeny. Hence 97% will continue to drag GDP and 3% will continue to feed them through Tax liabilities. Whenever 97% feels pangs, the need for diversion arises.

Important upcoming develop in the US is today's FED's meeting on tapering, ie, such excess money from the system. It will have to happen for the sake to control inflation and the Stock market will tumble. There's money to be made based on news. What else provides that opportunity more that the news of War??

[By profession this author is a private tutor. Visit www.dbhattacharjee.com to know more.

 
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IMPORTANCE OF SELECTING "BENGALI" AS A SUBJECT AT XI XII LEVEL IN ISC CBSE CURRICULUM

  Hi, I'm Susmita . I've been teaching for about 30 years now. I taught at schools at the outset of my teaching career. So, you can ...